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Mar
9
IRES Lunch Seminar - Elsa Leromain, IRES/LIDAM
By IRES Lunch Seminar

Elsa Leromain

IRES/LIDAM

will give a presentation on

Voting under threat: Evidence from 2020 French local elections

Abstract:

This paper studies the impact of the spread of Covid-19 on turnout to French local elections in March 2020. Using heterogeneity in exposure to the virus, we analyse how different risk factors affect voter turnout. We show that proximity to a cluster, population density and the age of the population - known risk factor at the time - deter turnout at the city-level. We also document a large heterogeneity in the effect of turnout depending on the political affinity of the city as measured by its votes in the first round of the 2017 presidential election. Turnout is lower in cities with a higher vote share for Marine Le Pen, conditional on a number of demographic and socio-economic characteristics.

Joint with Gonzague Vannoorenberghe